下面是小编为大家整理的冠状病毒危,机中年轻工作者:冠状病毒初步调查结果,供大家参考。
Y oun g
w or k e r s
i n
t h e
co r ona v i r u s
cr i s i s
F i n din g s
fro m
t h e
R e s o lu t io n
F o u n d a t io n ’ s
co r o n a v ir u s
s u rv e y
1 9 M a y
2020
M a j a
Gu sta f sso n
T he
c o rona virus
c ris is
i s
exp ect ed
to
hit
w o rk e rs
hard ,
wit h
evide nc e
f ro m
p revio us c ris e s
indica ting
that
t he
y o ung
are
lik e ly
t o
b e
a ff ect ed
to
a
g r ea te r
d eg r ee
th a n
mo s t. I n
t his
s po t lig ht
w e
mo ve
f ro m
s p ecula t io n
t o
evide nc e ,
p re s e nt ing
ne w
f inding s
on ho w
dif f ere nt
a g e
gro up s
– a nd
in
p art ic ula r
t he
y o ung
– ha ve
b een
a ff ect ed .
Y o ung e r
a nd
o lde r
w o r k e rs
ha ve
e x p e rie nc e d
t he
b runt
o f
t he
hit
t o
j ob s
a nd
p a y ,
wit h t he
ve ry
y o ung e s t
in
t h e
mo s t
c ha lle ng ing
po sit io n.
O ne - third
o f
1 8 - 24 - ye a r - ol d em p l o y ees
( e x c luding
s t udent s )
ha ve
lo s t
j ob s
o r
b ee n
f urlo ughe d,
c omp are d
t o
on e - in - s ix
p rim e - a g e
a dult s ,
w i th
th ese
e xp er i en ces
a l s o
mo r e
co mmon
a mon g
em p l o y ees
in a t y p ic a l
j ob s .
S im ilarly ,
35
p er
cent
o f
non - full - ti m e
s tuden t
1 8 - 24 - y ea r - o ld
e mp lo y ee s are
ea rning
less
tha n
t he y
did
p rio r
t o
t he
o ut b rea k ,
a nd
3 0
p e r
ce nt
o f
t ho s e
in
t he ir ea r l y
60 s ,
co mp a r ed
to
2 3
p er
cent
o f
2 5 - 49 - ye a r - o lds .
T he
C o rona virus
J ob
Re t e nt io n
Sc he m e
h a s
b ee n
w e ll - r eceiv ed ,
es p eci a ll y
b y
th e y o ung e s t
w o rk e rs :
a ro und
t w o - t hirds
of
18 - 24 - ye a r - o lds
w ho
ha ve
b ee n
f urlo ughed
are h a pp y
a bou t
th a t
ou tc om e.
And
a ro und
s ev en - in - ten
25 - 39 - y ea r - ol d s
in
w o rk
are c urre nt ly
w o rk ing
f ro m
hom e
a t
le a s t
s om e
o f
t he
tim e .
T his
is
a ls o
th e
a g e
a t
w hic h w o rk e rs
are
mo s t
lik e ly
t o
e x p ec t
t o
w o rk
f ro m
hom e
mo re
in
t he
f u ture
tha n
t he y
did b ef o r e
t he
c o rona virus
o ut b rea k .
T his
s po t lig ht
l ook s
a t
t he
la bo ur
m a rk e t
e ff ec t s
o f
t he
c o rona virus
c ris is ,
z oom i n g
in
on
t he i mp ac t s
ac ro ss
dif f ere nt
a g e
gro up s .
Evide nc e
f ro m
p revio u s
c ris e s
indica t e s
that
do w nt urns t e nd
t o
ha ve
p art ic ula r ly
detrim e nt a l
e ff ec t s
on
y o ung e r
w o rk e rs .
H ere
w e
t urn
f ro m s p ecula t io n
t o
evide nc e
on
t he
j ob s
hit
t o
dif f ere nt
a g e
gro up s
in
t his
c ris is
so
fa r .
T his
s po t lig ht
b uild s
on
o ur
p revio us
a na ly s is
o f
la bou r
m a r k e t
ef f ec t s
a cr o ss
th e
ea r n i n g s dis t rib ut io n .
The
f inding s
are
b a s e d
on
a
s urve y
de s ig ned
a nd
c omm is s io ned
b y
t he Re s o lut io n
F ou nda t io n , 1
in
p art ne rs hip
wit h
t he
H ea lt h
F o unda t io n
( a lt ho ug h
t he
vie ws
in t his
no t e
are
no t
ne ce ss a rily
t ho s e
o f
t he
H ea t h
F o unda t io n) .
You n g
e m p l oye e s
a r e
m os t
li k e l y
to
h a v e
los t
w or k
du e
to
f u r l ou g hi ng ,
j ob s
l o sse s
a nd
hou r s r e du c t i o ns
W e
b e gin
b y
lo o k ing
a t
ho w
dif f ere nt
a g e
gro up s
ha ve
f are d
in
t e r m s
o f
f url o ug hing
a nd
w o rk l o ss es .
W e
d o
th i s
b y
f o cu s i n g
on
th e
exten t
t o
w hic h
p e op le
w ho
w ere
in
e mp lo y ee
j ob s b e f o re
t he
c ris is
hit
( e x c luding
full - ti m e
s tuden ts )
ha ve
e x p e rie nc e d
j ob
c ha ng e s
a ss o c ia t e d wit h
re duc t io ns
in
ea rning s
a nd/ o r
t he
a mou nt
o f
w o rk
b e ing
done .
O ur
p revio u s
s po t lig ht
s ho w e d
that
ac ro ss
a ll
a g e s ,
1 5
p e r
ce nt
o f
e mp lo y ee s
ha d
b ee n f urlo ughed
f ro m
t he ir
m a in
j ob
in
ea rly
Ma y ,
w hile
a ro und
3
p e r
ce n t
o f
e mp lo y ee s
ha d
lo s t t he
m a in
j ob
t he y
h a d
p rio r
t o
t he
c o rona viru s
o ut b rea k .
F ig ure
1
s h ow s
h ow
th ese
ou tco m es p la y
o ut
ac ro ss
a g e
gro up s .
T he
p ro po rtio n
o f
1 8 - 24 - y ea r - ol d
em p l o y ees
and,
t o
a
less e r ext en t,
2 5 - 34 - y ea r - ol d
em p l o y ees
w ho
ha ve
b ee n
f urlo ughed
f ro m
t he
m a in
j ob
t he y
ha d
p rio r t o
t he
c o rona virus
o ut b rea k
is
g rea t e r
tha n
t he
ave ra g e
ac ro ss
a ll
a g e s .
Eve n
m or e p ro no unc e d
( a nd
mo r e
w o rry ing ) ,
is
t he
f ac t
that
t h e
p ro po rtio n
o f
18 - 24 - y ea r - o ld
non - full - tim e
s t udent s
w ho
ha ve
lo s t
t he ir
m a in
j ob
s ince
t he
c o rona virus
o ut b rea k
b e g a n
( 9
p e r
cen t)
i s
th r ee
ti m es
a s
l a r g e
a s
th e
f i g u r e
a cr o ss
a ll
em p l o y ees .
T a k i n g
th ese
ou tco m es to g eth er ,
w e
f ind
that
i n
ea rly
M a y
on e - third
o f
1 8 - 24 - ye a r - o lds
( e x c luding
full - ti m e
s tuden ts ) ha d
b ee n
f urlo ughed
o r
lo s t
t he ir
m a in
j ob .
By
c on t r a s t ,
l es s
th a n
1 5
p er
cent
of
35 - 44 - y ea r - o lds
f el l
i n to
th ese
ca teg o r i es .
Fig ur e
1
One - th i r d
o f
1 8 - 24 - ye ar - ol d s
h a v e
l os t
w ork
d u e
t o
furl ou g h i n g
or
j ob
l os s P r op or t i on
of
e m p l oyee s
( ex clu d ing
f u ll - t i m e
s t ud e nt s )
w h o
h av e
e x p e r i e n c e d
j ob c h an ge s
s i n c e
t h e
c o r o n av i r u s
o u t b r e a k ,
b y
age
g r o u p :
U K,
6 - 11
Ma y
2 02 0
N ot e s :
Base
=
a ll
U K
a d u lt s
a ge d
1 8 - 6 5
w ho
had
a n
e m p l o y ee
jo b
p r i o r
t o
t he
c o r ona v i r us
outb r e a k ,
e x c l ud i ng
f ul l - ti m e
s tud e n ts
( ap ar t
fr o m
t h e
‘all ’
c o l umn ) .
‘ F u r lo u g h e d ’
a n d
‘ lo st
j ob ’
r e la te
t o
e m p lo y ee s’
m a in
j ob ;
‘ lo st
h o u rs
a n d p a y
d u e
t o
c o ro n av i ru s ’
ca p t u res
emp l o y e es
n o t
i n
ei t h e r
o f
t h es e
f i rs t
t w o
gro u p s
w h o
ar e
w o r k i ng
f e w e r
ho ur s
t ha n t h eir
u s u a l
h o u rs
b ef o re
t h e
c o ro n av i ru s
o u t b rea k ,
w h i c h
t h ey
s t a te
h as
h a pp e n ed
f o r
c o ro n av i ru s - rela t ed
reas o n s , a n d
w h ic h
c o in cid e
wit h
d e cr e ases
in
e ar n ing s.
So u rc e :
R F
a n a ly sis
o f
Y ouG ov ,
A d u lt s
a ge d
18
t o
6 5
and
t he
c or on av ir u s
( C O V I D - 19 ) .
T he
la rge
p ro po rtio n
o f
1 8 - 24 - y ea r - o lds
on
f ur lo ug h
a nd
w ho
ha ve
lo s t
t he ir
m a in
jo b
is p art ic ula rly
w o rry ing
b eca u s e
th ese
p eo p l e
a r e
a t
th e
b eg i nn i n g
o f
ca r eer s .
A s
o ut line d
in det a il
in
p revio u s
Re s o lut io n
F o unda t io n
re s ea rc h ,
y o ung
p e op le
w ho
ha ve
rece nt ly
le f t e duc a t io n
a nd
ha ve
r e cen tl y
en t er ed ,
o r
are
a bo ut
t o
en t er ,
t he
la bo ur
m a rk e t
are
m or e s us ce p t ib le
to
lo ng - t e r m
e mp lo y m e nt
a nd
p a y
s carring .
A s
w e
s ho w e d
i n
ou r
I nt erge ne ra t io na l
A udit
l as t
y e ar ,
y o ung
p e op le
are
mo re
lik e ly
t h a n o t he r
a g e
gro up s
t o
w o rk
in
a t y p ic a l
j ob s .
An d
w e
k no w
f ro m
rece n t
a na ly s is
th a t
p e op le
in a t y p ic a l
w o rk
are
co n c en tra ted
in
‘ s hut do w n
s ec t o rs ’
direc t ly
a ff ec t e d
b y
loc k do w n m ea s ure s ,
s uc h
a s
ho s p it a lity
a nd
non - f ood
r e t a il .
F ig ure
2
b ring s
th ese
i ss u es
to g eth er ,
s ho w ing
that
m ille nnia ls
a g e d
2 0 - 3 9
a nd
w o rk ing
in a t y p ic a l
j ob s
p rio r
t o
t he
o ut b rea k
are
m or e
lik e ly
t o
ha ve
b ee n
f urlo ughed
o r
l o s t
t he ir
j ob s , bo t h
c omp are d
t o
o lde r
g e ne ra t io ns
a nd
to
t h e ir
c ount e rp art s
in
t y p i ca l
j ob s .
A l mo st
t wo - in - five
m ille nnia ls
in
a t y p ic a l
j ob s
ha ve
b ee n
f urlo ughe d,
lo s t
t he ir
j ob
o r
ha d
t he ir
ho urs re duc e d,
c omp are d
t o
j ust
o ve r
on e - in - five
m i lle nnia ls
in
t y p ic a l
j ob s .
T he re
is
a
less p ro no unc e d
dif f ere nc e
b e t w ee n
b a b y
boom e rs
w ho
w e nt
int o
t his
c ris is
in
a t y p ic a l em p l o y m en t
a nd
t he ir
c ount e rp art s
w ho
did
no t .
Fig ur e
2
Tw o - f if t h s
o f
m ille nnials
in
at ypi c al
j o b s
ha v e
been
f u r lou g hed ,
lo s t
t hei r j o b s
o r
ha d
t hei r
ho u r s
r ed u c ed P r opo r tio n
o f
emp lo y ees
( ex clu d ing
f u ll - t i m e
s t u d e n t s )
w h o
h av e
e x p e r i e n c e d
j ob
ch a n g es
since
t h e
co r o n a vir u s
o u t b r ea k ,
b y
g en er a t i o n
a n d
j ob
t y pe :
U K ,
6 - 11
Ma y 2020
N ot e s :
Base
=
a ll
U K
a d u lt s
a ge d
1 8 - 6 5
w ho
had
a n
e m p l o y ee
jo b
p r i o r
t o
t he
c o r ona vi r us
outb r e a k ,
e x c lu d ing
f u ll - ti m e
s tud e n ts .
‘F u r l o u g h e d ’
and
‘l o s t
j ob ’
r e l at e
t o
e m p l o y ee s ’
m ai n
j ob ;
‘l o s t
h o u rs
and
p ay
d u e
t o
c o r o n av i r u s ’ ca p t u res
emp l o y ees
n o t
i n
ei t h er
o f
t h es e
f i rs t
t w o
gro u p s
w h o
ar e
w o rk i n g
few e r
h o u rs
t h a n
t h eir
u s u a l
h o u rs
b e f o r e t he
c o r ona vi r us
outb r e a k ,
w hi c h
t he y
s t a te
h as
h a ppened
f o r
c o ro n av i ru s - r e la te d
r e a so n s,
a n d
w h ic h
c o in cid e
wit h d ecreases
i n
ea rn i n g s .
A t y p i ca l
w o rk
ref e rs
t o
t h o s e
i n
a ge n c y
w o rk ,
o n
zero - hou rs
c on t rac t s
or
on
te m p or ar y c on t rac t s .
O ur
d e f i nit i ...
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