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2021年全球医学趋势调查报告【优秀范文】

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2021年全球医学趋势调查报告【优秀范文】

 

 G iv en

 tha t

 2 0 2 0

 w as an

 e x tr aordinar y

 y ear

 globally

 due

 to

 the

 pandemic,

 mos t

 coun tries ar e

 seeing

 a

 decrease

 in

 tr end

 fr om

 2 0 19

 to

 2 0 2 0 .

 S ome

 coun tries

 ar e

 e v en

 e xpecting

 a nega tiv e

 tr end

 f or

 2 0 2 0 .

 About the

 sur v e y

 Willis

 T o w ers

 W a ts on

 conducts

 the

 Global

 Medic al

 T r ends Surv e y

 ev ery

 y ear

 be t w een

 July and

 Sep t ember .

 T w o

 hundr ed and

 eigh ty -s ev en

 leading

 insur ers

 r epr es en ting

 7 6

 coun tries participa t ed

 in

 our

 20 21

 surv e y .

 Global

 r esults

 pr es en t ed

 her e ha ve

 been

 weigh t ed

 using

 GDP

 per

 c apita.

 The

 U . S .

 medical tr end

 da ta

 ar e

 dr a wn

 fr om

 the

 Willis

 T o w ers

 W a ts on

 Na tional T r end

 Surv e y

 r es ear ch.

  Figur e

 1:

 P ar ticipan t

 pr o file

 Ov er vie w

 CO VID- 19

 has

 undoub t edly

 had

 a

 major

 impact

 on

 pr oject ed medical

 tr ends

 f or 2020

 and

 20 21.

 Given

 tha t

 2020

 w as an

 e xtr aor dinary

 y ear

 globally

 due

 t o

 the

 pandemic,

 mos t coun tries

 ar e

 s eeing

 a

 decr eas e

 in

 tr end

 fr om

 20 19

 t o 2020 .

 Some

 coun tries

 ar e

 ev en

 e xpecting

 a

 nega tiv e tr end

 f or 2020 .

  Man y

 insur ers

 and

 emplo y ers

 ar e

 r eporting

 a

 decr easing tr end

 in

 claims

 r a tio

 in

 2020 ,

 as mos t

 nonur gen t

 tr ea tmen ts and

 sur geries w er e

 dela y ed

 especially

 be t w een

 Mar ch

 and

 A ugus t .

 In

 turn,

 thes e

 dela y s

 cr ea t ed

 a

 need

 f or s ome priv a t e

 f acilities

 t o

 mak e

 up

 f or los t

 r ev enue

 in

 2020 .

 The Willis

 T o w ers

 W a ts on

 CO VID- 19

 claims

 modeler

 sugges ts signific an t

 vola tility

 in

 20 21

 r esults,

 which

 ar e

 dependen t on

 the

 impact

 o f

 CO VID- 19

 and

 whe ther

 or no t

 a

 vaccine becomes

 a v ailable

 early

 in

 the

 y ear ,

 who

 pa y s

 f or it

 and the

 e x t en t

 o f

 its

 a v ailability .

 In

 addition,

 ther e

 is

 uncertain ty about

 how

 CO VID- 19

 t es ting

 and

 tr ea tmen t

 cos ts

 f or 20 21 will con tinue

 t o

 be

 split

 be t w een

 gov ernmen t ,

 insur ers

 and

 emplo y ers.

  F urther uncertain ty

 ar ound

 medical

 tr end

 lies

 ahead

 in

 futur e y ears as w e

 s tart

 t o

 s ee

 the

 true

 impact

 o f

 dela y ed

 tr ea tmen t in

 2020

 and

 the

 long-t erm

 e ff ects

 on

 thos e

 who

 con tr act ed CO VID- 19 .

 Ne v ertheless, ther e

 is

 a

 silv er lining

 her e ,

 as CO VID- 19

 has

 gr ea tly

 acceler a t ed

 the

 adop tion

 and

 us e

 o f t elehealth,

 which,

 in

 turn,

 could

 help

 t o

 o ff s e t

 thos e

 po t en tial

 2

 willis to w ers w a t son. com

  higher

 cos ts

 and

 pr ovide

 a

 mor e

 e fficien t

 w a y

 f or insur eds t o

 access

 and

 us e

 health

 c ar e

 in

 the

 futur e .

 It

 ma y

 als o ,

 o f cours e ,

 incr eas e

 utiliza tion

 due

 t o

 eas e

 o f

 access.

 A sia

 P acific

  Ov er all,

 w e

 e xpect

 pr ojected

 global

 tr end

 to dr op

 to

 belo w

 6%

 in

 2 0 2 0

 be f or e

 r ebounding back

 to

 abo v e

 8%

 f or

 2 0 2 1

 due

 to

 the

 c a tch- up

 on

 dela y ed

 tr ea tmen t ,

 po ten tially

 leading to

 worsening

 health

 conditions and

 some unexpected

 cos t

 incr eases coming

 thr ough, such as those

 f or

 personal pr o tectiv e equipmen t

 (PPE).

  Figur e

 2:

 How

 do

 y ou

 e xpect

 the

 medic al

 tr end

 in

 y our

 o v er all book

 o f

 busines s

 to

 change

 o v er

 the

 ne x t

 thr ee

 y ears

 compar ed to

 curr en t

 r a tes ?

  0

  Global

  China .

 CO VID- 19

 has

 no t

 had

 as much

 impact

 on

 cos t

 or utiliza tion

 in

 China

 as it

 has

 in

 o ther

 coun tries.

 The

 cos ts

 o f medical

 c ar e

 con tinue

 t o

 incr eas e

 f or tr ea tmen ts,

 particularly thos e

 outside

 the

 s cope

 o f

 s ocial

 s ecurity

 cov er age .

  The

 cen tr al

 gov ernmen t

 is

 planning

 t o

 elimina t e

 the

 individual medical

 accoun t

 and

 a t

 the

 s ame

 time

 o ffer cov er age

 f or outpa tien t

 e xpens es

 under

 s ocial

 s ecurity .

 The

 initiativ e

 w as announced

 in

 Sep t ember

 2020 ,

 with

 mor e

 de tails

 t o come

 on

 cov er age .

 This

 is

 e xpect ed

 t o

 impact

 the

 cos t

 o f tr ea tmen t

 in

 the

 futur e;

 how ev er ,

 it

 will pr obably

 tak e

 a

 while f or the

 initiativ e

 t o

 be

 fully implemen t ed

 given

 the

 v aria tion

 in gov ernmen t

 funding

 a t

 the

 pr o vincial

 le v el.

  Hong

 K ong.

 The

 lo w

 utiliza tion

 o f

 medical

 s ervices

 during

 the pandemic

 and

 the

 r ecession

 f or ec as t ed

 b y

 the

 gov ernmen t ar e

 the

 t w o

 main

 driv ers

 o f

 the

 slo w do wn

 in

 medical

 tr end

 f or

 Latin

 Americ a

 Asia

 P acific

 Europe

 Middle

 East and

 A fric a

 1%

 3%

 1%

 Significantly

 lowe r

 4%

  1%

  2%

  L owe r

 About

 the

 same

 2020

 and

 20 21.

 Demand

 f or medical

 t ourism fr om

 mainland China

 has

 als o

 dr opped

 due

 t o

 the

 tr a v el

 r es trictions

 and s ocial

 unr es t

 in

 Hong

 K ong.

 Higher

 Significantly

 higher

 54%

 Global

 Medic al

 T r end

  3

 30%

 63 %

 37 %

 71%

 21 %

 6%

 39%

 49%

 11%

 11%

 87%

 The

 r egion

 sho w s

 a

 signific an t

 dr op

 in

 tr end

 t o

 6 .2 % in

 2020 ,

 but

 this

 will spring back

 abo ve

 the

 20 19

 tr end t o

 a

 pr oject ed

 8.5 %

 in

 20 21.

 %

 20%

 40%

 60%

 80%

 100%

 3%

 4%

 Figur e

 3: G lobal

 a v er age

 medic al

 tr end

 r a tes

 b y

 coun tr y ,

 2 0 19

 – 2 0 2 1

  C oun tr y

 G r os s

 cos t

 tr end

 Ne t

 cos t

 tr end

 (o f

 gener al

 in flation)

  2 01 9

 2020

 2 02 1

 2 01 9

 2020

 2 02 1

 Global^

 7 .1 6

 5.88

 8. 12

 5. 13

 4. 60

 6 .1 7 La tin

 Americ a^

 10 .83

 8 .97 13. 63

 5 .7 5

 6. 62

 11. 17

 North

 Americ a

 5.55

 2 .7 6

 7 .1 3

 3. 65

 2. 15

 5.50

 A sia

 P acific

 7. 4 7 6 .22 8.50

 5.88

 5. 10

 6. 78

 E ur ope

 5.58

 4.2 4

 5 .7 6

 4 .0 2

 3.27

 4. 15

 Middle

 Eas t/ A fric a

 8. 65

 8. 66

 1 0.0 1

 7 .39

 6 .9 4

 6 .9 8

 L a tin

 Americ a

 Ar gen tina *

 56 . 99

 4 7 .29

 60 .50

 3. 44

 28.85

 4 7. 7 5

 Barbados

 and

 Eas t

 Caribbean

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 5. 90

 5.54

 8.39

 Br azil*

 11. 96

 9 .38

 11.5 1

 8.23

 5.82

 8.21

 Chile*

 4.88

 3. 18

 4 .07

 2. 63

 -0 . 19

 1. 14

 Colombia *

 6 .27

 6. 89

 6. 92

 2 .7 5

 3.38

 3. 71

 Cos ta

 Ric a *

 7. 00

 8. 00

 9 .25 4. 90

 6 .4 6

 7. 00

 E cuador

 12. 00

 12. 00

 12. 00

 11. 73

 12. 0 1

 10 .84

 El

 Salv ador *

 7. 4 3

 1 0.0 0

 7. 7 1

 7 .35

 9. 94

 7 .1 1

 Gua t emala *

 8. 00

 8.83

 11.8 0

 4.30

 7. 00

 1 0.0 2

 Hondur as *

 6 .1 7 7. 9 8

 9 .67 1.8 0

 4.83

 6. 69

 Me xico *

 9 .30

 11.50

 11. 71

 5. 66

 8.8 0

 8. 93

 Nicar agua

 1 0.0 0

 12. 00

 15. 00

 4 .6 2

 7 .53

 11. 04

 P anama *

 1 0 .67 11. 00

 9 .4 0

 11. 0 2

 11. 91

 8. 90

 P eru

 5. 00

 6 .0 0

 8. 00

 2.8 6

 4.29

 6 .21

 Puert o

 Rico

 5. 00

 -6 . 00

 18. 00

 4.27

 -4. 45

 17 .36

 T rinidad

 and

 T obago

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 9 .0 0

 11. 00

 8. 72

 V ene zuela

 85. 00

 150 . 00

 250 . 00

 - 19821. 0 2

 - 14850 . 00

 - 14 7 50 . 00

 Nor th

 Americ a

 Canada

 4. 17

 0 .1 3

 7. 0 3

 2.22

 - 0.4 8

 5 .7 6

 Unit ed

 Stat es#

 7. 9 1

 7. 2 4

 7 .30

 6 .1 0

 6. 62

 5. 06

 A sia

 P acific

 A us tr alia

 6 .50

 6 .0 0

 6 .0 0

 4.8 9

 4.5 7 4. 18

 China *

 8. 68

 9 .1 0

 9 .32

 5 .7 8

 6 .0 6

 6 .7 7 Hong

 K ong*

 8. 16

 6 . 24

 6 .6 8

 5.30

 4.2 4

 4. 18

 India *

 7. 8 0

 12. 00

 1 0.0 0

 3.26

 8. 66

 6 .38

 Indonesia*

 10 .33

 9 .97 12. 00

 7. 5 1

 7 .1 0

 9 .0 6

 Mala y sia *

 10 . 64

 10 .82

 12.55

 9 .97 10 . 71

 9 .7 5

 Ne w

 Z ealand

 5. 60

 - 2. 00

 2 0.0 0

 3. 98

 -3.22

 18. 6 2

 Philippines *

 7. 7 5

 8.50

 8.82

 5.27 6. 78

 5. 94

 Singapor e *

 7. 6 7 7. 6 7 8. 17

 7 .1 0

 7 .84

 7. 6 5

 South K or ea

 7. 00

 5. 00

 4. 00

 6. 62

 4. 73

 3.55

 Sri

 Lank a

 5. 00

 5. 00

 5. 00

 0 .7 0

 0 .34

 0 .35

 T aiw an *

 4. 00

 4. 00

 4. 00

 3. 46

 3.50

 2.50

 Thailand

 7. 00

 7 .50

 8. 00

 6 .29

 8.56

 7. 44

 Vie tnam *

 12. 93

 10 . 13

 10 . 15

 10 . 13

 6 .9 3

 6 .25 4

 willis to w ers w a t son. com

 C oun tr y

 G r os s

 cos t

 tr end

 Ne t

 cos t

 tr end

 (o f

 gener al

 in flation)

  2 01 9

 2020

 2 02 1

 2 01 9

 2020

 2 02 1

 E ur ope

 B elgium

 2. 00

 2.50

 3. 00

 0 .7 5

 2.25

 1. 91

 Cyprus 5. 00

 0.0 0

 1. 00

 4. 44

 - 0 .7 0

 0.0 0

 Denmark

 5.50

 6 .50

 4.50

 4 .7 7 5.8 0

 3.30

 F r ance

 4. 17

 1. 03

 2.30

 2.8 7 0 .7 5

 1. 60

 German y

 5. 00

 7. 00

 7. 00

 3. 65

 6 .6 8

 5.82

 Gr eece

 4.50

 4.50

 4 .7 5

 3. 98

 4. 96

 3 . 74

 Hungary

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 6 .6 3

 6 .6 6

 6 .83

 Ir eland

 4 .47 1. 43

 8.33

 3.5 9

 1. 03

 6 .6 3

 Norw a y *

 5.27 5. 99

 6 .4 3

 3. 10

 3.5 9

 4.23

 P oland*

 5.85

 6 .50

 7 .33

 3.54

 3.28

 4 .7 5

 P ortugal*

 3 .7 9

 - 1.83

 3 .97 3. 49

 - 1. 63

 2 .6 2

 R omania *

 12. 6 2

 10 .33

 11.50

 8 .7 9

 8 .0 9

 1 0.0 5

 Russia

 7.25 1 0.0 0

 11. 00

 2 .7 8

 6 .9 1

 8 .0 1

 Serbia

 7 .50

 7 .50

 15. 00

 5. 65

 6 .0 6

 13. 06

 Spain

 2.85

 1. 93

 4 .7 5

 2. 15

 2.23

 4. 10

 S w eden

 9 .0 0

 6 .0 0

 7 .50

 7 .30

 5.54

 5 .97 S witz erland

 4. 00

 1.50

 1. 00

 3. 64

 1.8 9

 0.4 0

 T urk e y

 23.25

 17 .50

 16 . 00

 8 .07

 5.50

 4. 00

 Unit ed

 Kingdom

 5 .67 6 .33

 6 .50

 3.88

 5. 15

 4. 96

 Middle

 Eas t

 and

 A fric a

 Bahr ain

 7. 00

 7. 00

 7. 00

 6 .0 0

 4. 40

 4.50

 Burkina F as o

 0 .50

 15. 00

 1 0.0 0

 3. 73

 11.8 0

 7. 9 0

 Camer oon *

 3.50

 6 .25 4. 00

 1. 05

 3. 45

 1 .7 5

 Co t e

 d"Iv oir e

 15. 00

 15. 6 7 18.33

 14. 19

 14. 4 7 16 . 93

 E gyp t*

 12. 13

 10 .88

 12.33

 -1 . 7 4

 5.0 2

 4. 10

 Gabon

 19 .50

 21.50

 25. 00

 17 . 48

 18.50 22. 00

 Ghana

 12. 17

 14. 6 7 17 . 17

 4. 96

 5.0 1

 8 .6 2

 Guinea

 1 0.0 0

 5. 00

 3. 00

 0 .53

 -3.50

 -5. 00

 Jor dan

 7. 00

 0.0 0

 4. 00

 6 .7 0

 -0 .20

 2. 40

 Ke n y a

 8.50

 6 .50

 9 .0 0

 3.30

 1. 40

 4. 00

 K uwait

 5. 00

 7 .50

 1 0.0 0

 3. 90

 7. 00

 7. 7 0

 Madagas c ar

 25. 00

 2 0.0 0

 3 0.0 0

 19 .38

 14.50

 23.50

 Mo zambique

 7. 00

 5. 00

 5. 00

 4.22

 -0 . 19

 -0 . 71

 Nigeria

 17 .33

 14. 6 7 18. 6 7 5. 94

 1.27

 6 .30

 Oman

 4.50

 4.50

 5.50

 4.3 7 3.50

 2. 10

 Saudi

 Ar abia

 1 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 12. 00

 11.21

 9 .1 3

 1 0.04

 Senegal

 1 0.0 0

 15. 00

 15. 00

 8. 98

 13. 00

 13. 0 8

 South A fric a

 6 .50

 6 .0 0

 6 .0 0

 2.3 7 3.5 7 2.84

 T ogo

 5. 00

 8. 00

 1 0.0 0

 4.31

 6 .0 0

 8. 00

 Uganda

 2 0.0 0

 1 0.0 0

 15. 00

 17 . 13

 6 .0 6

 10 . 15

 Unit ed

 Ar ab

 Emir a t es

 9 .0 0

 8. 00

 8. 00 ...

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